Idaho State
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 91.3332Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 1- 9 207 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 0- 2 213 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 1- 6 213 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 5- 3 214 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1-10 214 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 11- 7 215 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 4- 2 219 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 6-16 221 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 6-14 227 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 3- 4 306 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 9- 6 307 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 2- 1 310 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 13- 2 317 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 1- 2 414 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 5- 3 505 H Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 15- 7 515 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 1- 5 516 A Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Fresno State 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.99
207 A Fresno State 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.99
213 H Minnesota 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.87
213 A UTEP 5- 3 2 2 0.05
214 A Oklahoma 1-10 -9 -9 0.31
214 A New Mexico State 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.33
215 H East Carolina 4- 2 2 1 1.20
219 A Utah Valley 6-16 -10 -1 --- -9.27
221 A UNLV 6-14 -8 -1 --- -7.08
227 A Oregon 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 4.91
306 H Southern Utah 9- 6 3 1 1.63
307 H Southern Utah 2- 1 1 1 -0.37
310 A Utah State 13- 2 11 1 +++ 9.81
317 H Utah State 1- 2 -1 3 - -3.67
414 H Boise State 5- 3 2 0 + 2.36
505 H Sacramento State 15- 7 8 1 +++ 6.74
515 A Oregon 1- 5 -4 -6 1.91
516 A Saint Mary's 1- 3 -2 -2 0.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Fresno State 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.99 219 A Utah Valley 6-16 -10 -1 --- -9.27 221 A UNLV 6-14 -8 -1 --- -7.08 213 H Minnesota 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.87 317 H Utah State 1- 2 -1 3 - -3.67 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Utah State 13- 2 11 1 +++ 9.81 505 H Sacramento State 15- 7 8 1 +++ 6.74 214 A New Mexico State 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.33 227 A Oregon 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 4.91 414 H Boise State 5- 3 2 0 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 1- 9 -8.30 11.07 0.74 1.40 -5.29
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 0- 2 -8.30 11.07 0.74 1.40 -5.29
3 H Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 1- 6 -8.70 10.67 -0.74 1.40 -6.61
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 5- 3 -11.26 8.11 0.74 1.40 24.78
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1-10 -0.00 19.37 0.74 1.40 -0.52
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 11- 7 -7.98 11.39 0.74 1.40 33.96
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 4- 2 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 1.40 28.03
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 6-16 -8.58 10.79 0.74 1.40 -5.49
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 6-14 -8.39 10.98 0.74 1.40 -5.36
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 3- 4 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.40 -1.86
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 9- 6 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 1.40 26.43
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 2- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 1.40 26.43
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 13- 2 -10.50 8.87 0.74 1.40 26.92
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 1- 2 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 1.40 -7.87
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 5- 3 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 1.40 31.25
3 H Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 15- 7 -9.08 10.29 -0.74 1.40 26.74
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 1- 5 -3.40 15.97 0.74 1.40 -1.86
3 A Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 1- 3 -7.30 12.07 0.74 1.40 -4.59
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179.80
|
winning pts = 224.5443 losing points = -44.7438
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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